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20121101
20121130
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in the demographics of some key states, particularly nevada and colorado and to some extent, virginia. not long ago, these were some of the rest of the red states, and we have watched through the election cycles of our population in these and other states shifting and changing and we see a number of significant changes in voting patterns. in 2008, president obama was swept into office with 97% of african-american votes and 43% of the white vote. today, we look forward to hearing from the senior research associate on his analysis on how these numbers faired in the 2012 elections and what it meant to the outcome we all watched last night and into the early morning hours. with that, let me call on the doctor for his analysis and remarks. that will be followed by questions from you. thank you very much. [applause] >> good afternoon. good afternoon. the 2012 elections are over and the elections were historic. there is one particular aspect of the elections that was historic that i would like to talk about first. it is not simply the reelection of the first african-american president. 2012 will be the la
million. missouri, a candidate's spending $22 million, $8 million in outside money. nevada, $18 million. independent line, good morning. who is going to win? caller: i think that mr. obama is going to win, but i had three points to make and i would like you to pick one. beer summit, take one for the team, or buyer's remorse. can you pick one? host: i will let you pick. my job is to get to the phone calls. caller: let me have all three, then. host: go ahead. caller: mitt romney will never have a beer summit, he will never mediate. nothing will ever happen like that, first of all. he does not drink. take one for the team? i do not think he would take one for the team. i think he would make america team america. he would make team america take one for him. his religiosity, he may want to force that on america when we are not ready. also, the buyer's remorse. i wrote down the we would be darned if we do and donned if we do not. we will wind up with more gridlock and the republicans will wind up with mr. obama anyway. host: ok. "washington post," the annual crystal ball addition. we are taki
, in florida, virginia, less so in colorado. the black population is fairly small. nevada, definitely. the right in the country and especially the ultraconservatives in the republican party had pushed african-americans and hispanics together. they have a politics where sort of a nasty braggadocio, if you watch the primaries, where you have to be slashed and burn in how you attack your enemies, that very much does not go over with hispanics. some of the things that were said -- i have spoken to a well known latino pollster about this. he said a white person has friends and extended family -- that number is 8. a hispanic person has that number at about 50. if you are a slash and burn person, that is your style, you are not going to go over well with latinos. african americans and latinos have been pushed together. if you look at it in class terms, african-americans, the largest proportion of african americans and latinos are working class and have similar interests in terms of government. >> any additional questions? >> you were talking about the turnout during the midterms. you did no
: in the senate races, we are in michigan, wisconsin, nevada, the governor's race in new hampshire. we do 75 congressional races. we started off with 53 incumbents going into this election. we do some polling for the romney campaign. host: what is happening for the wisconsin senate race? guest: i did some polling for scott walker. we have it right in terms of polling as opposed to what you are seeing in the public polling. we have a net edge presidentially and in the senate race going for tom thompson in that senate race. what we are seeing there we are seeing in all of the campaigns. we have closed the gaps that democrats have in those states. guest: we see a much more partisan atmosphere than in 2008. the democrat in wisconsin has a slight lead. that will be a close race on election day. wisconsin is a little bit closer than it has been before. in the end, obama wins that state by two or three points. host: i want to put on the screen what is happening in colorado, alabama, north carolina. the number of votes cast as of yesterday. in colorado, 1.5 million votes cast. 35% for democrats, 37%
to pump more money, more stimulus into the economy in hard-hit states like nevada, florida, ohio, colorado, pennsylvania, california than any institution. they may be more important than the fed. we have to look at money and politics. >> this is interesting. the comments from all four speakers. i want to ask about a demographic group that none of you touched on. one out of every five americans has a disability. 51% of likely voters said they have a family member with a disability. at the national press club when there was an opportunity for the romney campaign and the obama campaign to send someone to speak about disability issues, the romney campaign chose not to attend and chose not to issue a position paper on disabilities. i wanted to ask why, given that one out of five americans has a disability, 51% of american likely voters has a family member or a loved one, why is there not more conversation about that demographic within our society and election process? >> the short answer is in an election that revolving around the role of government, if your for small government, why would you
obama. he is scheduled to appear in wisconsin, nevada, colorado today. mitt romney is scheduled to be in battleground virginia to talk , which will talk about in a moment. we will cover running at 2:00 p.m. on c-span and the president at 9:00 in colorado. watch here or listen on c-span radio. those are some of the latest headlines. [video clip] >> these are the stories your textbooks left out, great stories about real people in american history, very important moment in american history we don't know about. the first programs in america came to -- came 50 years before the mayflower sailed there there were french and they made wine and had the good sense to land in florida in june if instead of december in massachusetts. but then they were wiped out by the spanish. completely left out of the textbooks. a woman named hanna was taken captive by indians in 1695 and brought to new hampshire. still to come captors in the middle of the night, realized she could get a bounty for scalps of the indians, she went back and did that and made her way to boston, where she was a heroin and a st
lengthy discussions with the democratic leader, harry reid of nevada, as well as former majority leader and my good friend, george mitchell of maine, on this very question. i came away from these conversations reassured that my independence would be respected and that no party line commitment would be required or expected. and so i've decided to affiliate myself with the democratic caucus, because doing so will allow me to take independent positions on issues as they arise and at the same time will allow me to be an effective representative of the people of maine. one final word. by associating myself with one side, i am not in automatic opposition to the other. i'd like to repeat that. by associating myself with one side, i am not in automatic opposition to the other. in the situation of a republican house, a democratic senate but with substantial powers residing in the minority and a democratic president, no one party can control the outcome of our collective deliberations. as bill clinton might say, it's just arithmetic. in fact, this situation of a divided government has only two po
in nevada and colorado. nevada is a pathway to 270 without ohio. i think the post-mortem on this is that -- if the republicans don't win, a look a thow they dealt with the latino vote and the language they used and the perception that is created. the latino vote is one of the pillars of the obama strategy. and a big turnout like the president said -- this is a reason why he wins. he was playing the analyst and acts like he doesn't do it publically. >> the best visual we've seen about the changing face of american politics -- the percentage of the vote white voters make up. it is down 3-4 points each election adn this will continue a long time. it was a reality they could blow off but they can't win without improving those numbers. >> you saw rubio try to do that -- >> and -- it was such a moment. really. and if we see, if republicans are serious about that, they will get serious about immigration reform. >> i will make a prediction if romney doesn't win. this is the last time we see a major party ticket with two white men on it. it will be almost automatic you have
close. and labor aint dead. laver played a big role in helping obama and nevada and wisconsin as well as an ohio. the popularity of the auto bailout is hard to overstate. that a little bit from politico. now we want to hear from you. we will begin with a call from woodbridge, virginia on our line for democrats. good morning. go ahead. caller: good morning. i am calling it, as my first time calling c-span. a have been listening for several years. and i feel like i have to make a call today. my comment would be, i voted for obama, and a first-time voter. i just became a citizen of this year. the democratic party, i have been here for two years, and this democratic party stands for us all, it helps the poor people of. like obama said, trying to help people come up to the middle class. the republican party stands for the rich. it claims to be a christian party. these people call themselves christians. but the abuse, the idea as, is not designed to help the poor. it is for the rich. so people like myself, i would never aligned with this party. host: tell us about your experience boating an
heller of nevada who won on the republican side, really ran separate from -- not against but separate from the party platform and the president. clare mccaskill, john tester, heidi -- from the dakota, joe donnelly for sure from indiana, these are people who won because they were saying i am an independent voice, i will not be beholden to my party. and i think that you have an opportunity -- whether or not they take it and not is quite another question -- but you have an opportunity to have a new center in the scented. it would be mostly made up of democrats, unfortunately. but i think it will be interesting to watch all of these people and how they behave, particularly when it comes to tax reform. i think it is one place where they could be tremendously influential and be the bridge that sort of gets it done. >> terrific. ice build think we have a microphone assistance. let's -- i still think we have microphone assistance. let's play stump the band -- >> i think it is stump the chumps. >> anybody closer already have a microphone? >> what do you see the relationship between the hill an
. hispanics are a small slice, but a growing slice in virginia. this is not colorado or nevada or mexico. nonetheless, hispanics in virginia, as in many of the other states, to be very heavily democratic. and so, to the extent they turn out, even if they are only 4% of the statewide votes in any given year, they can assist democrats. let me mention asian americans, because they have become increasingly important in virginia, even though they are a small percentage of the population and the registered population. in northern virginia in particular, they have become exceptionally active. they give a lot of money to candidates. they are predominantly democratic, although slices of the asian-american population, such as vietnamese americans, will support republicans. it goes to show that in a diverse population, virginia has become tremendously diverse. when i was growing up, the white turnout on election day was about 85% of the total. 70'smentioned, it's low today. that makes a giant difference. you can tell it in the election results. even a small slice of the population can have a big im
that top-of-the-ticket impasse. >> in nevada. >> johann eck, this is because the district the democrats should be challenging if you want to win a majority. this is a suburban, loss vegas- clark county district. right now, democrats are having a tough time going after heck. the democratic nominee is a former leader in the state house. he has an influential position in the state legislature. he has a record as a firefighter. they are not even mentioning that he is a politician because of that label is not when you want to have. right now, heck has the advantage, but it democrats have a better night than we expect, they would need to do better in this type of district. >> california is a solid blue state for the president, but a couple of interesting house races in that state. >> california, we can almost ignore the state come even though it is the largest state. there have only been one or two seats that had a chance of one party taking over the other. but the citizen legislator redistricting commission and the top two primary that has been turned on its head. democrats need to almost sw
. this is not colorado or nevada or mexico. nonetheless, hispanics in virginia, as in many of the other states, to be very heavily democratic. and so, to the extent they turn out, even if they are only 4% of the statewide votes in any given year, they can assist democrats. let me mention asian americans, because they have become increasingly important in virginia, even though they are a small percentage of the population and the registered population. in northern virginia in particular, they have become exceptionally active. they give a lot of money to candidates. they are predominantly democratic, although slices of the asian-american population, such as vietnamese americans, will support republicans. it goes to show that in a diverse population, virginia has become tremendously diverse. when i was growing up, the white turnout on election day was about 85% of the total. as i mentioned, it's low 70's today. that makes a giant difference. you can tell it in the election results. even a small slice of the population can have a big impact in a state that is increasingly diverse and increasingly
states have dropped off. most recently, we moved to nevada off of the in-playlist on to the leaning democratic list as it becomes clear are the polls and the early voting statistics that president obama was filling out a pretty strong lead in that state. host: so as this map comes together, what tatestate does the los angeles uses to determine? -- los angeles times uses to determine? guest: we use a mixture of things. early in the process, you are relying on republican polls. as the process goes along, two other things factor into it. one is the reporting that our political staff does. we've had reporters in all of the battleground states as the campaign goes along and traveling what both of the presidential and vice presidential candidates. so we get a lot of information from our reporters and that's -- that factors into the map and once early voting gets started, we've been tracking the early vote and that was particularly important in nevada. it was also important in north north carolina. for a while, we have moved north carolina off of our battleground list because it seemed lik
of the night about colorado, iowa, some of the states in the west like nevada, perhaps. i think we will have a pretty good idea about what is happening early in the night and from there we will see whether the western states actually matter or not. >> i think that va is a very telling state. we focus on va a lot because it is right next door to washington, d.c. but the demographics are very similar to the rest of america. heavily democratic an urban area, nerve -- northern virginia, a very conservative, rural, southern virginia. the race and the demographics is similar to the country at large. the growing hispanic population. also a significant african- american population. if you want to look at a state that is very much epitomizes what the rest of the country is like, i think you look at a state like virginia which right now is pulling very close. if people want a good idea about which way things are headed, i think they should look at the results in virginia. >> any surprises? >> in the presidential race or anything? i think people need to keep an eye on pennsylvania right now. i have bee
brawner, what do you have for us? i want to go back and begin with nevada. president obama -- >> i want to go back and begin with the bottom. polls showed that unions, hispanics and women carry the vote for obama there. and the state of colorado, colorado ranks sixth in the nation for hispanic voters. 74% of them voted for president obama in colorado. and in iowa, president obama wins 52% over mitt romney's 46%. president obama split the senior vote 50-50. moving on to wisconsin, barack obama 53% 2 mitt romney's 46%. and the youth vote may have carried president obama in this state. 18-29-year-old's boy overwhelmingly voted for the president. and what men, too, in this day. 52% voted for barack obama vs 42% for mitt romney. moving on to ohio, this is the state there but it was watching closely. 22% of voters came from union households in ohio. and in north carolina where mitt romney 1 -- excuse me, florida. this is one that has not been called. president obama has bought 45,000 in the lead in this debt -- has about 45,000 in the lead in this state. moving on to north carolina, the econo
of voters has increased in colorado, iowa, minnesota, nevada, north carolina, and wisconsin. it looks like it decreased in 35 of 49 battleground states. the total turnout may be higher in 2008 when all the votes are finally counted. as we planned for, total minority vote share increased to 28%. our coalition turnout, women made up about the same percent of the electorate as in 2008. we got 65% of women voters. for lots of reporting about youth turnout, they continue to turn out and take control of their future. in virginia, we increased our youth percentage. in florida, voting rates increased to 16%, and we got 61% in 2008 and 66% in 2012. african american turnout and support was as high or higher than ever. in ohio, african-americans increased from 11% to 15%. we got somewhere between 9% and 97% in every battleground state. 71% of latino vote, the highest percentage of latino vote since 1996. in florida increase from 14% in 2008 to 17% in 2012. we increased our vote share in florida from 57 to 60, which appears to be a high mark for any democratic candidate. for the first time since the r
what it's been like. i just had a telephone call with a lot of people in nevada. we were talking about challenges there and their home values are down and people are having a hard time making ends meet. the median income in america has dropped over $4,000 in the last four years. they are earning less than four years ago. the same time cost of gasoline has gone up $2,000 a family, health insurance premiums are up, groceries are up. these are tough times for america. so my plan to create 12 million jobs is needed and needed now. it has five parts which number one we're going to take full advantage of our energy, our oil, our coal, our gas. [applause] and that creates a lot of jobs. not just in the energy sector but in places that use energy, manufacturing for instance uses a lot of energy in many cases and by having low cost energy and we have it and will continue to have it if we take advantage of these resources. you're going to see manufacturing come back to this country. this is big for our country. that's number one. number two, it's a very helpful thing if a nation has the most pro
my -- a lot of my career greeting voters in nevada and doing things that i think are environmentally important. climate change is an extremely important issue for me and i hope we can address it reasonably as we have seen with the storms that are overwhelming our country in the world. we need to do something about it. thank you. >> good afternoon. let me start by offering my congratulations to president obama and the first lady and the vice-president. like many americans i was hoping that this election would turn out differently. there rummy and paul ryan are good man and the leaders. i want to wish them and their families well. the american people have spoken. they have reelected president obama and they have reelected the putt -- a republican majority. there is a mandate in yesterday's results and a mandate to find a way to work together on the solutions to the challenges will face as a nation. a message today is not one of confrontation but one of conviction. in the weeks and months ahead we face a series of tremendous challenges and opportunities. there is the fiscal cliff. a com
broader appeal. same thing happened in 2010 nevada, when sharron was nominated to vote -- to run against harry reid. harry reid was considered to be road kill. they. and harry reid what. in dollar-denominated that -- in delaware they nominated that wiccan. there are republicans who are looking at their losing power and thinking we have got to do something different. but even among those people, there is a fear if they decide to do something different, olympia snowe, who was wildly popular in maine, do you really think if she had been nominated that she would not be elected? there would not be a race. she did not want -- she had had it with trying to adapt to this new reality that involved the tea party people. so the question is, is that, which is going to dominate -- fear or opportunity? >> about 15 minutes or so left in this discussion. you can see this in its entirety at the c-span video library. now the latest on the hurricane seen the hurricane response with craig fugate, and charley and nancy. you can also hear this on c- span3. >> update on the response to hurricane sandy. >> afte
of the best golfers in the congress. that is like saying you're one of the best surfers in nevada. i want to make a confession. my confession as i am addicted to golf. i also want to tell you i blame arnold palmer and jack nicklaus for that addiction, because i watched them in 1960 in one of the greatest u.s. open tournament of all time. you know who finished first with a marvelous bar in a still difficult hole. it was the man who finished second who went on to have a fantastic career as well, and he is here with us. but golf has taught me more than i can share. is a game that cannot be 1. but it is a game that can be played throughout your life. you'll learn to call penalties on yourself. is a game for the ages. arnold, jack, i want to thank you for helping me become addicted to a game that has taught me so much. i want to tell you i got in trouble after that u.s. open. i went into the garage. i started swinging at balls in the yard, which meant they would go into other people's yards. but i was hooked. and you think about golf in two ways. let politics, you can have two kinds of days. b
Search Results 0 to 23 of about 24 (some duplicates have been removed)